Celtic Trade Scenarios

Another day, another new team that is rumored to be the frontrunner in the Kevin Love sweepstakes. The Golden State Warriors, as expected, are the top competition for the Boston Celtics in the pursuit of Kevin Love, and today things got interesting. The Warriors have offered David Lee and Klay Thompson for Love, Kevin Martin and JJ Barea. Golden State sees the opportunity to add Love and move Harrison Barnes into the lineup to replace Thompson. In theory, there is no dropoff for the Warriors at small forward and they replace David Lee with Kevin Love, which is a huge upgrade. If you think Love is bad on defense, wait until you watch David Lee.

This would validate the report that Minnesota wants NBA veterans in return for Love, but this new rumor stinks of posturing. Why would the Timberwolves, a team that hasn’t been in the playoffs since 2005, trade their franchise player and other assets to a direct competitor in the stacked Western Conference? There are eight precious playoff spots and if Minnesota helps one of those eight from 2013/14 improve, they are doing a disservice to themselves and their fans. Considering this new report and applying logic to these rumors, this sounds like a direct message to Boston that they aren’t getting Love without providing a veteran that they can immediately put in their lineup. I’m assuming Boston doesn’t have the guy they want, so it may be time to get a third team involved. Here are a couple possible deals:

Trade Scenario #1- Boston, Minnesota and Orlando

Boston Receives– Kevin Love, Magic 2014 2nd Round Pick, T’Wolves 2015 & 2016 2nd Round Picks

Minnesota Receives– Aaron Afflalo, Avery Bradley, Jared Sullinger, 2014 #6 Pick, #17 Pick, Boston 2017 1st Round Pick

Orlando Receives– Jeff Green, Kelly Olynk, Boston 2015 1st Round Pick, LA Clippers 2015 1st Round Pick

Some may look at this deal and think Orlando is getting the lower end of the return, but Aaron Afflalo has already talked about wanting to be traded and Orlando is in full rebuild mode anyways. Adding Green will make up for lost scoring, Olynk is still improving and they get two 1st round picks next year. Minnesota gets the proven young NBA star in Afflalo and replace Love in the frontcourt with the up and coming Sullinger. Avery Bradley would also be a good young piece for the Wolves and they also get the three 1st round picks they coveted. The Celtics end up with Love, possibly JJ Barea, and three 2nd round picks. Everyone wins and the money works.

Trade Scenario #2- Boston, Minnesota, Detroit

Boston Receives– Kevin Love, Detroit 2014 2nd Round Pick, Minnesota 2015 2nd Round Pick

Minnesota Receives– Greg Monroe, Jeff Green,Boston 2014 #17 Pick, Boston 2015 1st Round Pick, LA Clippers 2015 1st Round Pick, Brooklyn Nets 2018 1st Round Pick

Detroit Receives– Jared Sullinger, Kelly Olynk, Avery Bradley, 2014 #6 Pick, Boston 2016 1st Round Pick

Again, it looks like Detroit is getting the raw end of the deal, but they actually get quite the haul for Greg Monroe, a player that most likely will be traded this summer. The Pistons end up with Boston’ top pick because Minnesota gets a true young big in return, not to mention three first round picks and a good bench scorer in Jeff Green. The Celtics get their guy, albeit after surrendering five 1st round picks and a few good, young players.

All of these rumors will be just rumors until something comes to fruition, but when it comes to trade talk, it is important to remember that the trade has to benefit all the franchises involved. Both of these deals would benefit all three teams involved and would allow the Timberwolves to possibly compete with Golden State instead of handing them a guaranteed playoff spot next season and beyond.

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Love & Boston Are a Perfect Fit

The NBA offseason is about to begin, and the tampering season has been in full effect for the last month. If the NBA is good for two things, it’s drama and player movement. Perennial powers Miami and San Antonio Spurs just wrapped up the Finals, again, and if anyone is going to knock these two powers off, we may see that team beginning their construction on draft night. The team that rises on draft night may not be handing out a new hat to a young kid out of college; they’ll be making a trade for a franchise altering player. That team is starting to look like the Boston Celtics, and that player appears to be Kevin Love.

The Kevin Love trade rumors have been well known for a long time, and if it is true that Love doesn’t want to return after 2015, then the rumors will become reality. The Wolves have no choice- they’ll be forced to trade him on draft night to get the best return on a deal, and the only way to do that is to send Love to a place where he wants to be. Love spent the first weekend of June in Boston, taking in the sites and hanging with some of the local pro sports stars. NBA superstars don’t just make weekend trips to historic cities with a rabid fan base, so it is safe to say Love’ trip to Boston wasn’t just a vacation. It looked like a trip to check out his potential home and workplace.

Yes, the Celtics are among many suitors when it comes to Love’ services (Chicago, Golden State, Houston, and the LA Lakers), but when you step back and take a look at the scenario, it’s easy to see why Boston makes the most sense for Love. First and foremost, Boston has the most assets to offer, by far, and considering Minnesota would be dealing their franchise player, it is important to be able to find another potential franchise player with the picks gained in the deal. The Wolves would potentially receive the number six pick in a deep draft later this month and any additional picks they may want (Celtics have nine first round picks in the next five years.) Brooklyn’ first rounders in ’16 and ’18 has huge potential because Brooklyn has an aging and inflexible roster. If the Wolves want financial flexibility or young talent, the Celtics have expiring contracts and players they can include too (Jeff Green, Avery Bradley-sign and trade.)

Some question whether this deal makes sense for Boston considering the amount they will have to give up in the deal, but the only way Boston is going to compete is to put talent around Rondo. Love fits in perfectly with the pass-first point guard. Minnesota has to be leery of making this deal because the last time they made a deal with Boston, it netted the Celtics a championship in the first year. When it comes down to it, the Wolves should do what is right for the franchise and for Love. Avoiding trades out of spite is bad for business, and the Timberwolves still need to sell tickets, which won’t happen with a lame-duck Love on the roster.

Chicago has a good amount of assets to move (Taj Gibson, draft picks), and although Derek Rose is (was?) a great player, he’s not a pass-first point guard like Rondo, he’s coming off two straight missed seasons, and there are questions regarding the health of his knees. Houston has a good team and they may be able to clear cap space, but it isn’t the best fit. Howard didn’t play well with another dominant big (Gasol) and there won’t be a lot of shots for Love with Harden around too. Golden State has the players on their roster that are the most appealing (David Lee, Harrison Barnes), but they don’t have the picks and they aren’t a proven contender in the stacked Western Conference. The Lakers would be a viable candidate if they had something to trade, but besides the number seven pick, the cupboard is bare.

In the summer of 2007, the Celtics entered the draft armed with assets and the number five pick. After the draft was done, they had added Ray Allen and a shot to trade for Kevin Garnett because he was willing to come to Boston for a chance at a ring. It worked. Now we enter the summer of 2014, and this time the Celtics are in similar position, and because it worked in ’07, that gives them the confidence to go for it again. The Celtics are going to do what they have to do to build a contender, and draft night will mark the beginning of a big summer in Boston. Danny Ainge is hoping he can repeat history.