Celtic Trade Scenarios

Another day, another new team that is rumored to be the frontrunner in the Kevin Love sweepstakes. The Golden State Warriors, as expected, are the top competition for the Boston Celtics in the pursuit of Kevin Love, and today things got interesting. The Warriors have offered David Lee and Klay Thompson for Love, Kevin Martin and JJ Barea. Golden State sees the opportunity to add Love and move Harrison Barnes into the lineup to replace Thompson. In theory, there is no dropoff for the Warriors at small forward and they replace David Lee with Kevin Love, which is a huge upgrade. If you think Love is bad on defense, wait until you watch David Lee.

This would validate the report that Minnesota wants NBA veterans in return for Love, but this new rumor stinks of posturing. Why would the Timberwolves, a team that hasn’t been in the playoffs since 2005, trade their franchise player and other assets to a direct competitor in the stacked Western Conference? There are eight precious playoff spots and if Minnesota helps one of those eight from 2013/14 improve, they are doing a disservice to themselves and their fans. Considering this new report and applying logic to these rumors, this sounds like a direct message to Boston that they aren’t getting Love without providing a veteran that they can immediately put in their lineup. I’m assuming Boston doesn’t have the guy they want, so it may be time to get a third team involved. Here are a couple possible deals:

Trade Scenario #1- Boston, Minnesota and Orlando

Boston Receives– Kevin Love, Magic 2014 2nd Round Pick, T’Wolves 2015 & 2016 2nd Round Picks

Minnesota Receives– Aaron Afflalo, Avery Bradley, Jared Sullinger, 2014 #6 Pick, #17 Pick, Boston 2017 1st Round Pick

Orlando Receives– Jeff Green, Kelly Olynk, Boston 2015 1st Round Pick, LA Clippers 2015 1st Round Pick

Some may look at this deal and think Orlando is getting the lower end of the return, but Aaron Afflalo has already talked about wanting to be traded and Orlando is in full rebuild mode anyways. Adding Green will make up for lost scoring, Olynk is still improving and they get two 1st round picks next year. Minnesota gets the proven young NBA star in Afflalo and replace Love in the frontcourt with the up and coming Sullinger. Avery Bradley would also be a good young piece for the Wolves and they also get the three 1st round picks they coveted. The Celtics end up with Love, possibly JJ Barea, and three 2nd round picks. Everyone wins and the money works.

Trade Scenario #2- Boston, Minnesota, Detroit

Boston Receives– Kevin Love, Detroit 2014 2nd Round Pick, Minnesota 2015 2nd Round Pick

Minnesota Receives– Greg Monroe, Jeff Green,Boston 2014 #17 Pick, Boston 2015 1st Round Pick, LA Clippers 2015 1st Round Pick, Brooklyn Nets 2018 1st Round Pick

Detroit Receives– Jared Sullinger, Kelly Olynk, Avery Bradley, 2014 #6 Pick, Boston 2016 1st Round Pick

Again, it looks like Detroit is getting the raw end of the deal, but they actually get quite the haul for Greg Monroe, a player that most likely will be traded this summer. The Pistons end up with Boston’ top pick because Minnesota gets a true young big in return, not to mention three first round picks and a good bench scorer in Jeff Green. The Celtics get their guy, albeit after surrendering five 1st round picks and a few good, young players.

All of these rumors will be just rumors until something comes to fruition, but when it comes to trade talk, it is important to remember that the trade has to benefit all the franchises involved. Both of these deals would benefit all three teams involved and would allow the Timberwolves to possibly compete with Golden State instead of handing them a guaranteed playoff spot next season and beyond.

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Love & Boston Are a Perfect Fit

The NBA offseason is about to begin, and the tampering season has been in full effect for the last month. If the NBA is good for two things, it’s drama and player movement. Perennial powers Miami and San Antonio Spurs just wrapped up the Finals, again, and if anyone is going to knock these two powers off, we may see that team beginning their construction on draft night. The team that rises on draft night may not be handing out a new hat to a young kid out of college; they’ll be making a trade for a franchise altering player. That team is starting to look like the Boston Celtics, and that player appears to be Kevin Love.

The Kevin Love trade rumors have been well known for a long time, and if it is true that Love doesn’t want to return after 2015, then the rumors will become reality. The Wolves have no choice- they’ll be forced to trade him on draft night to get the best return on a deal, and the only way to do that is to send Love to a place where he wants to be. Love spent the first weekend of June in Boston, taking in the sites and hanging with some of the local pro sports stars. NBA superstars don’t just make weekend trips to historic cities with a rabid fan base, so it is safe to say Love’ trip to Boston wasn’t just a vacation. It looked like a trip to check out his potential home and workplace.

Yes, the Celtics are among many suitors when it comes to Love’ services (Chicago, Golden State, Houston, and the LA Lakers), but when you step back and take a look at the scenario, it’s easy to see why Boston makes the most sense for Love. First and foremost, Boston has the most assets to offer, by far, and considering Minnesota would be dealing their franchise player, it is important to be able to find another potential franchise player with the picks gained in the deal. The Wolves would potentially receive the number six pick in a deep draft later this month and any additional picks they may want (Celtics have nine first round picks in the next five years.) Brooklyn’ first rounders in ’16 and ’18 has huge potential because Brooklyn has an aging and inflexible roster. If the Wolves want financial flexibility or young talent, the Celtics have expiring contracts and players they can include too (Jeff Green, Avery Bradley-sign and trade.)

Some question whether this deal makes sense for Boston considering the amount they will have to give up in the deal, but the only way Boston is going to compete is to put talent around Rondo. Love fits in perfectly with the pass-first point guard. Minnesota has to be leery of making this deal because the last time they made a deal with Boston, it netted the Celtics a championship in the first year. When it comes down to it, the Wolves should do what is right for the franchise and for Love. Avoiding trades out of spite is bad for business, and the Timberwolves still need to sell tickets, which won’t happen with a lame-duck Love on the roster.

Chicago has a good amount of assets to move (Taj Gibson, draft picks), and although Derek Rose is (was?) a great player, he’s not a pass-first point guard like Rondo, he’s coming off two straight missed seasons, and there are questions regarding the health of his knees. Houston has a good team and they may be able to clear cap space, but it isn’t the best fit. Howard didn’t play well with another dominant big (Gasol) and there won’t be a lot of shots for Love with Harden around too. Golden State has the players on their roster that are the most appealing (David Lee, Harrison Barnes), but they don’t have the picks and they aren’t a proven contender in the stacked Western Conference. The Lakers would be a viable candidate if they had something to trade, but besides the number seven pick, the cupboard is bare.

In the summer of 2007, the Celtics entered the draft armed with assets and the number five pick. After the draft was done, they had added Ray Allen and a shot to trade for Kevin Garnett because he was willing to come to Boston for a chance at a ring. It worked. Now we enter the summer of 2014, and this time the Celtics are in similar position, and because it worked in ’07, that gives them the confidence to go for it again. The Celtics are going to do what they have to do to build a contender, and draft night will mark the beginning of a big summer in Boston. Danny Ainge is hoping he can repeat history.

 

2014 Mock NFL Draft- Round One

Round 1

1. Houston Texans – Trade w/Jacksonville- Jaguars select Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M

Manziel is a perfect fit in Jacksonville; he’ll sell tickets, make the Jaguars relevant again, and he’s going to be a great. Quarterbacks are more valuable than defensive ends, which in turn makes Manziel the most valuable player in this draft, not Clowney.

2. St. Louis Rams (from Washington Redskins) – Khalil Mack, LB, Buffalo

In the hypercompetitive and defensive dominated NFC West, the Rams make the decision to follow suit and take the talented linebacker from Buffalo. I wouldn’t be surprised if they traded down, but in this version of the draft they stay put.

3. Jacksonville Jaguars – Pick traded to Texans- Texans select Jadeveon Clowney, DE, South Carolina

Clowney has been the consensus (I’m not a member of this group) top prospect for well over a year now, so the Texans get the best of both worlds by adding a pick and still getting the player they wanted to take at number one. 

4. Cleveland Browns – Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson

Instead of adding a quarterback, the Browns land the best wide receiver to enter the NFL since Julio Jones. Watkins may be better than Jones, and he’ll help form one of the best wide receiver duo’s in the league with Josh Gordon.

5. Oakland Raiders – Greg Robinson, T, Auburn

The Raiders need help up front and they end up with the top tackle in the draft. With the trade for Matt Schaub in the offseason, it is clear the Reggie McKenzie and his crew are trying to win now. Protecting your quarterback is the best way to do that, and Robinson fills that major need. 

6. Atlanta Falcons – Jake Matthews, T, Texas A&M

The Falcons are in major need of offensive line help, and they find a player with the best NFL bloodline of all time. Matt Ryan needs to be kept upright and adding Matthews, who has been blocking for Manziel the last two years, will do just that. 

7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Blake Bortles, QB, UCF

Last year the Bucs spent a third round pick on quarterback Mike Glennon and he pushed Josh Freeman out the door. Enter a new regime with a new plan; expect to see Glennon traded and Bortles to eventually win the job over career backup Josh McCown. 

8. Minnesota Vikings – Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville

Everyone has him falling, his pro day was awful, blah-blah-blah…Minnesota needs a quarterback desperately, and they like Bridgewater. Let’s not forget that Rick Spielman once used the number 12 pick on Christian Ponder. 

9. Buffalo Bills – Eric Ebron, TE, North Carolina

The Bills need to find a good tight end, and Ebron fits the bill. Ebron has issues with concentration, so he’ll take time to develop, but if he taps into his athleticism like he did at UNC, then the AFC East is going to have their hands full for the next decade. 

10. Detroit Lions – Mike Evans, WR, Texas A&M

The third Aggie to go in the top ten heads to Detroit to team with Calvin Johnson and Matt Stafford. Detroit has had issues with their second receiver so having Evans fall to number ten is a godsend for the Lions offense. Evans brings toughness that the Lions need. 

11. Tennessee Titans – Justin Gilbert, CB, Oklahoma St.

Alterraun Verner bolted for Tampa in free agency and left a hole in the secondary; Gilbert is the type of player that can come in and play right away. He may not be the level of Verner, but the Titans will be happy with the skill set Gilbert brings to their defense. 

12. New York Giants – Aaron Donald, DT, Pittsburgh

Donald provides a presence that the Giants are desperately in need of on the defensive front. Donald shouldn’t be available at this point in the draft, but questions about his size push him out of the top ten. This is a steal for the Giants. 

13. St. Louis Rams – Anthony Barr, OLB, UCLA

People are going to think I’m nuts to project the Rams to draft two linebackers with their first two picks, but I’m sticking to it. Barr is an outside linebacker with huge NFL potential and impossible to pass up at this point. The Rams linebacker core, in theory, would be all set for the next five to eight years.  

14. Chicago Bears – Ha Ha Clinton Dix, FS, Alabama

The Bears need help at safety and Clinton Dix is the top safety in the 2014 class. The Alabama product should start right away and will add athleticism and flexibility to the Bears secondary. Dix has the ability to play corner in a pinch too, making him more valuable. 

15. Pittsburgh Steelers – Taylor Lewan, T, Michigan

The Steelers haven’t been able to protect Big Ben for the last few seasons, and if they want to get back to the playoffs they better fix this problem. Lewan has great feet, balance and he has been facing top competition throughout his college career.  

16. Dallas Cowboys – Calvin Pryor, FS, Louisville

Although the Cowboys do need help on the offensive line, they’re also thin at the safety position. Pryor is the second ranked free safety in this draft; this would be the smart pick for Dallas, so assume they’ll do something different. 

17. Baltimore Ravens – C.J. Mosley, ILB, Alabama

Alabama’ track record for NFL players, especially first round picks, has been very spotty, but the Ravens typically draft well. They go with Mosley, one of the best athletes in this draft. The Ravens are still in transition on defense since the departures of Lewis and Reed. This pick helps. 

18. New York Jets – Odell Beckham, WR, LSU

The Jets were linked to every big name free agent wide receiver this offseason. Nothing came to fruition and John Idzik has made it clear he’s building through the draft. Beckham is an athletic specimen that looks the part of the NFL wide receiver. Geno Smith gets a new weapon to work with. 

19. Miami Dolphins – Zack Martin, G, Notre Dame

The Dolphins went into this offseason with a major problem- the offensive line. They essentially didn’t have one after watching it crumble in 2013 due to bullying and chaos. Martin is considered the top guard in the draft and will be most likely inserted into the starting lineup on day one. He and Pouncey alone will make Miami stronger up the middle. 

20. Arizona Cardinals – Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State

Carson Palmer has about three seasons left in him, so drafting a quarterback is a necessity for the Cards. Derek Carr will not get the same treatment his brother did by getting thrown to the wolves and will have a chance to learn under Palmer until he’s ready to take the reins. 

21. Green Bay Packers – Darqueze Dennard, CB, Michigan State

The pass rush was addressed in free agency and now the back end is addressed in the first round. Dennard has decent size, a strong bloodline (cousin Alfonzo is a starting cornerback for New England) and has the look of an NFL corner. Health could be an issue. 

22. Philadelphia Eagles – Marquise Lee, WR, USC

If Lee was allowed to enter the draft last year, he would have been a top ten pick. He had a down junior season but Chip Kelly will look past it because he knows what he is getting with Lee- one of the top wide receivers in this draft. Lee isn’t your typical Trojan wide receiver (translation- not a bust.) 

23. Kansas City Chiefs – Brandin Cooks, WR, Oregon State

The Chiefs need depth at the wide receiver position and Cooks fills that need. Cooks is a polished, strong third receiver to add to the Avery/Bowe duo. Andy Reid knows that a wide receiver core should resemble a basketball starting five and the selection of Cooks gets them 3/5 of the way there. 

24. Cincinnati Bengals – Jimmie Ward, SS, Northern Illinois

The Bengals have a good defense and Taylor Mays has played decent for them at strong safety, but it is hard to pass on Ward at this point, especially knowing that New England and other AFC contenders like him. Watch for Ward to steal the starting job from Mays.

25. San Diego Chargers – Kyle Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech 

The Chargers get a steal when Kyle Fuller slips to them in the first round. Facing the Broncos a minimum of twice a year makes it essential to have a great pass defense. If the Chargers don’t take a corner here, don’t be surprised to see them go after a pass rusher.

26. Cleveland Browns (from Indianapolis Colts) – Bradley Roby, CB, Ohio State

With Joe Haden at the top of the depth chart and the addition of safety Donte Whitner, the Browns are one corner away from having a dominant secondary. Roby will look to become the second Buckeye starting in the Cleveland secondary. 

27. New Orleans Saints – Carlos Hyde, RB, Ohio State

The Saints gambled their first round pick on a running back in 2011, trading up for Mark Ingram, but he looks like a bust. Darren Sproles was traded and Pierre Thomas isn’t getting any younger, so Hyde will have an opportunity to win the job right away. The Saints get it right this time around. 

28. Carolina Panthers – Cody Latimer, WR, Indiana

The Panthers gutted their wide receiver core in the offseason so this pick is more of a need pick than a best overall player pick. The Panthers select a player that Cam Newton will love and help erase the pain of losing Steve Smith. Latimer, a former basketball star, has good size and athleticism. 

29. New England Patriots – Louis Nix III, DT, Notre Dame

When Vince Wilfork and Tommy Kelly went down last year, it was clear that the Patriots depth on the defensive line was lacking. The main problem was stopping the run; adding Nix will give the Patriots the insurance policy they need if Wilfork’ Achilles injury acts up or Kelly happens to go down again. 

30. San Francisco 49ers – Dee Ford, DE, Auburn

The 49ers have a problem on their hands with Aldon Smith, regardless if he cleans up his act. He is absolutely going to be suspended by the NFL and he could possibly even face jail time for his braincramp at the airport. The 49ers add Ford to their star studded defense and allow the young talent to develop on the fly. 

31. Denver Broncos – Jason Verrett, CB, TCU

The Broncos did have a great offseason and they added a top end cornerback, but Verrett is the best player left on the board. With the prospect of facing New England in the AFC title game, having a strong secondary will be key. Aqib Talib is always a wild card when it comes to health, so Verrett could end up getting his fair share of playing time in his rookie year.

32. Seattle Seahawks – Allen Robinson, WR, Penn State

The Seahawks have gone through the typical free agent raid that Super Bowl champs endure, and the most important piece they lost was Golden Tate. Robinson isn’t the same type of player as Tate, but he will certainly help the Seattle offense get over his loss.